Market
What will be the suspect's identity in Brian Thompson's murder case by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as an employee of UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Identified as a known criminal with no ties to UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Identified as a relative or acquaintance of Brian Thompson • 25%
Identity remains unknown • 25%
Official police announcements or credible news reports confirming suspect identity
Story
Police Find Suspect's Backpack in Central Park in UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson's Murder Case
Dec 6, 2024, 11:50 PM
New York City police have recovered a gray backpack believed to belong to the gunman who fatally shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. The bag was discovered on Friday night near the merry-go-round in Central Park, close to the suspect's alleged e-bike escape route. Investigators are sending the backpack to a lab for analysis, though it is unclear if the murder weapon was found inside. Thompson was gunned down three days earlier, and the search for the suspect continues.
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Business Rival • 25%
Random Act • 25%
Personal Acquaintance • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal acquaintance • 25%
Unknown connection • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Former employee • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Multiple individuals • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Current 26-year-old suspect • 25%
Multiple suspects • 25%
Luigi Mangione • 25%
Another identified suspect • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
New York • 25%
Another US State • 25%
Outside the US • 25%
Not apprehended by deadline • 25%
Another US State • 25%
Not Apprehended by Date • 25%
Outside the US • 25%
New York City • 25%