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How will the international community recognize the 2025 Belarus election results?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widely recognized • 25%
Recognized by Russia and allies • 25%
Not recognized by EU and US • 25%
Mixed recognition • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the United Nations, European Union, and major countries
Story
Belarus Election Poised to Give Lukashenko Seventh Term Amid EU Criticism
Jan 25, 2025, 08:40 PM
Belarus is holding a presidential election on Sunday, January 26, 2025, in which incumbent President Alexander Lukashenko is expected to secure a seventh term in office. Lukashenko, who has been in power since 1994, has pardoned 15 prisoners ahead of the election, including eight serving sentences on extremism and seven on drug offenses. The early voting has seen approximately 27% voter turnout. The election is widely criticized as a 'sham,' with opposition figures jailed or forced into exile, and the European Union's High Representative Kaja Kallas stating that Lukashenko 'doesn't have any legitimacy.' Observers note that Lukashenko has tightened his grip on power, with critics dubbing him 'Europe's last dictator.' The election takes place under the shadow of Belarus's increasing reliance on Russia, especially following its support for Moscow during the conflict in Ukraine.
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Largely disputed • 25%
Widely recognized • 25%
Recognized by some, disputed by others • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Recognized by most countries • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Not recognized by most countries • 25%
Undecided by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Recognized by China • 25%
Recognized by both Russia and China • 25%
Recognized by Russia • 25%
Not recognized by either • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
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Military intervention • 25%
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General acceptance of the results • 25%
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Call for investigation • 25%
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OSCE • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
NATO • 25%
No action taken • 25%
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Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
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Election annulled • 10%
Other candidate wins • 10%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Lukashenko wins • 70%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%