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How will China respond to potential Western sanctions over Taiwan by 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Implement counter-sanctions • 25%
Seek diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase military posturing • 25%
Other • 25%
Official policy announcements from the Chinese government
Story
China Sets Up Interagency Group to Study Russia's Sanctions Evasion for Taiwan Conflict Preparation
Dec 1, 2024, 01:34 PM
China has established an interagency group to study the impact of Western sanctions on Russia, with the aim of preparing for potential economic measures in the event of a conflict over Taiwan. According to the Wall Street Journal, this group has been analyzing various aspects of sanctions evasion, including foreign reserve diversification and tactics to mitigate penalties. The Chinese government has been sending officials to Russia to learn directly from Moscow's experiences, focusing on how to blunt the effects of Western sanctions. This initiative comes as tensions between Russia and Western countries continue to escalate, with Beijing seeking to understand and prepare for similar scenarios involving Taiwan.
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No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Economic countermeasures • 25%
Other responses • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
