Market
Greenland's political alignment preference by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Denmark • 25%
Remain autonomous • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Greenlandic government or public referendums
Story
Trump's Renewed Push to Acquire Greenland Backed by Congressman; Greenland's PM Rejects
Jan 21, 2025, 04:07 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his interest in acquiring Greenland, emphasizing its strategic importance for international security to combat threats from Russia and China. Trump expressed confidence that Denmark will agree to the acquisition, suggesting that maintaining Greenland is costly for Denmark, and noted, "The people of Greenland are not happy with Denmark. I think they're happy with us." Republican Congressman Andy Ogles introduced a bill to give Trump the authority to acquire Greenland, stating, "We are, quite frankly, the dominant predator." In response, Greenland's Prime Minister Múte B. Egede asserted Greenland's desire for autonomy, declaring, "We don't want to be Americans. We don't want to be Danish either. Greenland's future will be decided by Greenland." Denmark's foreign minister also emphasized that no country should be able to simply "help themselves" to another country.
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Similar markets
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Become a sovereign state • 25%
Become part of the United States • 25%
Remain part of Denmark • 25%
Other • 25%
Moves toward independence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other political change • 25%
Greater autonomy • 25%
Seek independence from Denmark • 25%
Strengthen ties with Denmark • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US acquisition agreement • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Independence declared • 25%
Closer alignment with another country • 25%
Closer alignment with the US • 25%
Closer alignment with Denmark • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Seeks UN support • 25%
Seeks new alliances • 25%
Strengthens ties with Denmark • 25%
