Market
What will be Greenland's political status by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Greenlandic, Danish, or U.S. governments
Story
Denmark's Foreign Minister: Greenland May Gain Independence, But Not Become U.S. State Amid Trump's Interest
Jan 8, 2025, 03:51 PM
Denmark's Foreign Minister has stated that Greenland may become independent if its residents desire, but it will not become a U.S. state. This statement comes amidst discussions about Greenland's future, with the Danish government recognizing the island's aspirations for independence while firmly ruling out the possibility of it joining the United States. The comments were made in response to recent remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland for strategic and economic reasons.
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Other • 25%
Become part of the United States • 25%
Become a sovereign state • 25%
Remain part of Denmark • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Other • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
US acquisition agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Independence declared • 25%
Greater autonomy • 25%
Closer ties with Denmark • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Independence • 25%
Moves toward independence • 25%
Greater autonomy • 25%
Other political change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Remain with Denmark • 34%
Independence • 33%
Join the U.S. • 33%