Market
Greenland's political response to U.S. actions by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Greenland•Denmark•United States•Trump•Arctic•Panama Canal•Canada•NATO•James Stavridis•James David Vance•China•Chinese•Greenlandic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Seek independence from Denmark • 25%
Strengthen ties with Denmark • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from Greenlandic government or major news outlets
Story
Trump Considers Military Action Over Greenland; Denmark Offers U.S. Military Expansion
Jan 12, 2025, 02:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has renewed his interest in acquiring Greenland from Denmark, citing national security concerns and asserting that the United States "needs Greenland" for strategic purposes. Trump has not ruled out the possibility of using military force to seize control of the Arctic territory, and his administration is considering "all possible options" regarding Greenland. Additionally, Trump has made comments about reclaiming control over the Panama Canal and hinted at tensions with Canada. Denmark has reportedly offered to allow the United States to expand its military presence in Greenland, possibly to deter any aggressive moves. The island's population of approximately 57,000 has reacted with shock and rejection, emphasizing that "Greenland is not for sale" and that "you don't just go and buy a country." Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander James Stavridis has remarked that Trump's plan for Greenland is "not a crazy idea," highlighting the strategic importance of the region, particularly as Arctic ice melts and new shipping lanes emerge. Vice President-elect James David Vance has also expressed support for Trump's stance on Greenland. Concerns have been raised about China's growing interests and investments in the Arctic region, with some viewing Trump's actions as a move to counter Chinese influence. The situation has drawn parallels to other territorial disputes, with commentators warning that such actions could embolden other nations with expansionist ambitions. The discussion around Greenland reflects broader geopolitical themes involving resource competition, strategic military positioning, and international law. European allies have responded cautiously to Trump's statements, and Denmark, which exercises nominal sovereignty over Greenland, faces the challenge of balancing its relationships with the United States and the interests of the Greenlandic people.
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No official stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Opposed to sale • 25%
Supportive of sale • 25%
Other • 25%
No official response • 25%
Willingness to negotiate • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Opposed to increased U.S. presence • 25%
Supportive of increased U.S. presence • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Seeks new alliances • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Seeks UN support • 25%
Strengthens ties with Denmark • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Denmark • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain autonomous • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Negotiation for sale • 25%
Rejection of sale • 25%
Increased cooperation without sale • 25%
No response • 25%
Increase defense spending • 25%
Open negotiations with U.S. • 25%
Reject U.S. interest outright • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%