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First major military action by Japan in response to new deterrence guidelines by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deploy additional troops to disputed territories • 25%
Conduct joint military exercises with the US • 25%
Increase naval patrols in regional waters • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Japan's Ministry of Defense or major news outlets
Story
Japan and US Release December 26, 2024 Guidelines for Extended Deterrence Including Nuclear Protection Amid Regional Security Threats
Dec 27, 2024, 10:16 AM
On December 26, 2024, the governments of Japan and the United States released their first joint guidelines for 'extended deterrence,' aimed at bolstering Japan's defense against increasing threats from China and North Korea. The guidelines emphasize nuclear protection and are a response to the escalating military activities in the region. The details of the guidelines remain undisclosed, but officials from both nations have stated that this initiative marks a significant strengthening of their defense alliance in light of a severe strategic environment. The release of these guidelines is seen as a critical step in enhancing the security framework between the two countries.
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China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase in defense budget • 25%
Strengthening alliances • 25%
North Korean threats • 25%
Domestic political factors • 25%
Chinese military activities • 25%
U.S. pressure • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Military Preparedness Increase • 25%
Request for NATO Assistance • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase but less than 3% of GDP • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Increase to 3% of GDP • 25%
Engagement in talks • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increase military spending • 25%
Conduct military exercises • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%