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First major international intervention in SOMAÏR mine situation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
African Union • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Official statements from international entities or news reports
Story
French Nuclear Group Orano Loses Control of SOMAÏR Uranium Mine in Niger as Military Junta Takes Over
Dec 4, 2024, 10:22 AM
French nuclear group Orano has announced that Niger's military junta has taken operational control of its uranium mining subsidiary, SOMAÏR (Société des Mines de l'Air), in the West African country. Decisions taken at SOMAÏR's board meetings are no longer being applied, according to Orano, which holds a 64% stake in the company. The Nigerien representatives confirmed their position during an ordinary board meeting held on Tuesday, December 3, 2024, effectively limiting Orano's influence over the mine's operations.
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Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Niger • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Permanent nationalization by Niger • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Joint operation agreement • 25%
Agreement reached with Orano regaining control • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Arab League • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Deployment of peacekeeping forces • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Mali • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
Peacekeeping forces • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Other entity • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
