Market
First international intervention in hostage situation by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Official statements from international entities or credible news sources
Story
Al-Quds Brigades' Abu Hamza Reports Israeli Hostage Suicide Attempt Due to Psychological State
Jan 2, 2025, 10:04 AM
The Al-Quds Brigades, the military wing of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, reported that three days ago, one of their medical teams successfully intervened to prevent an Israeli hostage from committing suicide. The hostage's psychological state had deteriorated following the imposition of new conditions by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government, which led to the failure and delay of negotiations for his release, according to Abu Hamza, the military spokesperson for the Al-Quds Brigades. The hostage was scheduled to be released in the first stage of a prisoner exchange deal with Israel. In response to the incident, the Al-Quds Brigades have decided to tighten security and safety measures for the hostages.
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No international involvement • 25%
United Nations intervention • 25%
European Union mediation • 25%
Arab League involvement • 25%
Neither UN nor EU praise the agreement • 25%
EU praises the agreement • 25%
UN praises the agreement • 25%
Both UN and EU praise the agreement • 25%
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Increased sanctions on Hamas • 25%
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