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International response to Niger's control of SOMAÏR mine by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed on Niger • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Official statements from international bodies like the UN or EU
Story
Niger Junta Seizes Control of Orano's SOMAÏR Uranium Mine, Bans Exports
Dec 4, 2024, 11:41 AM
French nuclear firm Orano has announced that the military-led authorities in Niger have taken 'operational control' of its uranium mining unit, Somair, in which Orano holds a 64% stake. The company stated that decisions made during the company's board meetings are no longer being implemented. This development follows a coup in Niger, after which the military regime also banned uranium exports. Orano has expressed its intention to defend its rights but remains open to reaching an accord with the Nigerien authorities.
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African Union • 25%
No intervention • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Orano regains full control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Nigerien junta maintains control • 25%
Mine operations suspended • 25%
Production halted • 25%
Stable production levels • 25%
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Decrease in production • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Deployment of peacekeeping forces • 25%
Increased sanctions on Mali • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Increased collaboration with China • 25%
Increased competition for uranium • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Worsened transparency • 25%
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Improved transparency • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
International condemnation • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%