Market
What change will occur in the US-Guam missile defense strategy by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in defense budget • 25%
Decrease in defense budget • 25%
Introduction of new technology • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or major news outlets
Story
US Conducts First Ballistic Missile Intercept Test from Guam as Part of Multibillion-Dollar Plan for 360-Degree Protection
Dec 12, 2024, 03:14 AM
The United States has successfully conducted its first-ever ballistic missile intercept test from Guam, marking a significant advancement in its missile defense capabilities. This test, carried out by the Missile Defense Agency, is part of a multibillion-dollar initiative aimed at transforming Guam into one of the most heavily defended locations globally, particularly in light of threats from adversaries such as China and North Korea. The new missile defense system is designed to provide comprehensive 360-degree protection against incoming missiles and aircraft, enhancing the strategic defense of this key Pacific territory.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major military exercise • 25%
New naval base construction • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
New missile defense system • 25%
Introduction of new missile types • 25%
Deployment of additional Aegis systems • 25%
Other advancements • 25%
Enhanced radar capabilities • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Enhanced missile interceptors • 25%
Cyber defense capabilities • 25%
AI-based targeting systems • 25%
Advanced radar systems • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful intercept of new type of missile • 25%
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint defense exercise with allies • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%