Market
Panama's primary response to Trump's Panama Canal statement by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rejection of U.S. claims • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Statements from the Panamanian government and coverage by major news outlets
Story
Trump Plans to Reclaim Panama Canal from China Due to Unfair Treatment of American Ships
Jan 20, 2025, 05:34 PM
President Donald Trump has announced plans to reclaim the Panama Canal, stating that it is currently being operated by China. Trump clarified that the U.S. did not give the canal to China but to Panama, and emphasized his intention to take it back. He mentioned that American ships are being unfairly treated when using the canal, which underpins his decision to bring it back under American ownership.
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Seek international mediation • 25%
Increase security • 25%
Ignore threat • 25%
Negotiate with US • 25%
Increase in transit fees • 25%
Negotiation with the U.S. • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No response • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Negotiate with the U.S. • 25%
Increase canal tolls • 25%
Other • 25%
Seek support from China • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Rejects proposal • 25%
No official response • 25%
Proposes amendments • 25%
Accepts proposal • 25%
No official response • 25%
Issue formal denial • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Negotiation • 25%
No official response • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Increase fees • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Reduce fees • 25%
Issue joint statement • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Individual country responses • 25%
No official response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Strengthens sovereignty • 25%
Negotiates with U.S. • 25%
Negotiates with China • 25%
Panama strengthens control • 25%
Negotiations begin • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No change • 25%