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Major political development in Moldova by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New elections • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Constitutional crisis • 25%
Stable governance • 25%
Reports from major news outlets or official announcements
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Moldova Votes 50.3% 'Yes' for EU Amid Russian Interference Claims
Oct 21, 2024, 09:56 AM
Moldova has narrowly voted in favor of enshrining the country's European Union aspirations in its constitution, preliminary results showed. The referendum, held on Sunday, saw the 'No' vote leading initially, with 57% opposed at 33% of ballots counted. However, as more votes were tallied, the 'Yes' campaign gained a slim lead. With over 99% of the votes counted, 50.3% of Moldovans supported the amendment, while 49.7% opposed it, a margin of just a few thousand votes. The voting was 'too close to call' early Monday morning, reflecting deep divisions within the small nation. President Maia Sandu cited 'unprecedented' outside interference during the referendum, amid accusations of Russian meddling. The narrow victory puts Moldova on a path toward joining the EU's single market despite pressure from Russia.
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Pro-EU alignment • 25%
Pro-Russian alignment • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other alignment • 25%
Moldova joins EU • 25%
Moldova rejects EU membership • 25%
Referendum annulled • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Closer ties with EU • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Proceed with EU accession • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Abandon EU accession • 25%
Other response • 25%
Closer ties with EU • 33%
Closer ties with Russia • 33%
Neutral stance • 34%
Aligns more with EU • 25%
Aligns more with Russia • 25%
Maintains neutrality • 25%
Other • 25%
State of emergency ends with secured gas supply • 25%
State of emergency extended • 25%
State of emergency ends without securing gas supply • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened cybersecurity • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Accession approved • 25%
Accession rejected • 25%
Accession delayed • 25%
Accession withdrawn by Moldova • 25%
Pro-European • 33%
Pro-Russian • 33%
Neutral/No significant change • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Secured gas supply • 25%
Partial gas supply • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased energy crisis • 25%