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What will be the outcome of Moldova's EU accession process by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accession approved • 25%
Accession rejected • 25%
Accession delayed • 25%
Accession withdrawn by Moldova • 25%
Official statements from the European Union or Moldova's government
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Moldova Votes Yes to EU Membership by Razor-Thin Margin Amid Russian Interference Claims
Oct 21, 2024, 09:27 AM
Moldova held a referendum on amending the constitution to support the country's accession to the European Union. Initial results showed a majority against the amendment, but as votes were counted, especially from the diaspora, the "Yes" votes gained momentum. With 99.82% of votes counted, preliminary results indicated that 50.47% of Moldovans voted in favor of joining the EU, while 49.53% voted against, a difference of just a few thousand votes. The close result came amid accusations of "unprecedented" Russian interference in the election process. The high voter turnout exceeded the required 33% to validate the referendum.
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Full implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Amendment upheld • 25%
Amendment overturned • 25%
Amendment modified • 25%
No change • 25%
Moldova joins EU • 25%
Moldova rejects EU membership • 25%
Referendum annulled • 25%
No decision made • 25%
