Loading...
Market
Leading US Agency Against Mexican Cartels by End of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Department of Defense • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Official US government announcements or leadership appointments
Story
Trump Considers 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico to Combat Cartels, Sparks Debate
Dec 24, 2024, 01:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering a military intervention in Mexico, described as a 'soft invasion,' aimed at combating Mexican drug cartels. Discussions within Trump's transition team include the possibility of covert operations to assassinate cartel leaders, according to reports from Rolling Stone. The proposal has sparked debate in Mexico, with some advocating for international cooperation to address the violence, while others, including Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, emphasize Mexico's sovereignty and reject any form of subordination to the U.S. Trump's plan to designate Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations has further divided opinions in Mexico, with opposition parties urging for collaborative efforts, and the government asserting its independence.
View original story
Similar markets
Military Operations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Intelligence Operations • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Covert operations • 25%
Significant reduction in operations • 25%
Moderate reduction in operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Undercover operations • 25%
Naval Embargo • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Gulf Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%
Secretary of State • 25%
Attorney General • 25%
Homeland Security Secretary • 25%
Other official • 25%