Loading...
Market
What will be the primary method of U.S. intervention in Mexico against cartels by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Special forces deployment • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Undercover operations • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official U.S. government statements
Story
Trump Team Weighs 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico to Combat Cartels; Mexico Vows to Defend Sovereignty
Nov 28, 2024, 04:40 PM
President-elect Donald Trump's team is evaluating plans for a "soft invasion" of Mexico to combat drug cartels, according to reports by Rolling Stone and other media outlets. The proposed strategies include deploying special forces to kill or kidnap cartel leaders, conducting drone strikes, engaging in cyber warfare, and deploying undercover agents in Mexican territory. These ideas reflect an increasingly mainstream view among Trump administration officials and Republican lawmakers that the U.S. should take direct military action against Mexican cartels. Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo responded by asserting that Mexico will always defend its sovereignty, dismissing the plans as something out of "a movie."
View original story
Similar markets
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Military Operations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Intelligence Operations • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Naval Embargo • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Significant disruption of cartel operations • 25%
Minimal impact on cartel operations • 25%
No operations conducted • 25%
Operations lead to diplomatic tensions • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Covert operations • 25%
Drug Cartels • 25%
Illegal Immigration • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Humanitarian Crisis • 25%
Significant reduction in operations • 25%
Moderate reduction in operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%