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What will be the first U.S. military action against Mexican cartels by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. government agencies or credible news reports
Story
Trump's Team Considers 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico, Including Drone Strikes and Cyberwarfare, to Combat Cartels
Nov 27, 2024, 11:35 PM
Donald Trump's incoming administration is reportedly considering a military strategy termed a 'soft invasion' of Mexico to combat drug cartels. This approach includes proposals for special forces to target cartel leaders through lethal actions or kidnappings, as well as potential drone strikes and cyber warfare. The notion of a military intervention has gained traction among Trump officials and Republican lawmakers, reflecting a shift towards more aggressive tactics in addressing cartel violence. The plans were highlighted in a recent article by Rolling Stone, which underscores the increasing mainstream acceptance of such measures within the political discourse surrounding U.S.-Mexico relations.
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Similar markets
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Undercover operations • 25%
Successful with significant disruption • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Failure with no significant impact • 25%
No military action taken • 25%
Significant disruption of cartel operations • 25%
Minimal impact on cartel operations • 25%
No operations conducted • 25%
Operations lead to diplomatic tensions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military Operations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Intelligence Operations • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%