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Iran's response to US warning about Trump's safety by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Informal assurances maintained • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from US or Iranian officials, major news outlets
Story
Iran Assured US It Won't Target Trump or Americans After US Warning
Nov 15, 2024, 09:22 AM
Iran offered written assurances to the United States on October 14 that it is not seeking to assassinate former President Donald Trump or other Americans, according to American officials cited by the Wall Street Journal on Friday. The secret communication was a response to a private American warning issued in September, stressing that any attempt on Trump's life would be treated as an act of war. The exchange, involving secret messages between Tehran and Washington in recent weeks, aims to lower tensions between the two nations.
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Denial of threats • 25%
Escalation of rhetoric • 25%
Acceptance of warning • 25%
No official response • 25%
Iran confirms assurances • 25%
Iran denies sending assurances • 25%
Iran issues a new statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Military action against Israel • 25%
Military action against U.S. forces • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Iran denies involvement • 25%
Iran issues a statement of non-denial • 25%
Iran admits involvement • 25%
No official response from Iran • 25%
Support for US stance • 25%
Condemnation of US stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public acknowledgment and acceptance • 25%
Private acceptance, no public acknowledgment • 25%
Skeptical response • 25%
Rejection of assurance • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Sanctions by EU • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Withdraw from NPT • 25%
Increase uranium enrichment • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. interests • 25%
Public threat or warning • 25%
Diplomatic engagement or negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%