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International response to Canada-India diplomatic crisis by end of 2024?
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Justin Trudeau•Canada•Indian•Khalistan•Nijjar•India•Canadian National Security•Joe Adam George•Royal Canadian Mounted Police•RCMP•South Asian community•US
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 25%
Mediation by a third country • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Statements from major international organizations or countries
Story
Trudeau Admits Allegations Against India Based on Intelligence, Not Proof, in Nijjar's Murder
Oct 19, 2024, 03:38 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has admitted that Canada did not provide hard evidentiary proof to support its allegations against Indian officials in the murder of Khalistan terrorist Nijjar, stating that there was primarily intelligence, not proof. This admission has been interpreted by various experts and commentators as a vindication of India's stance on the lack of evidence. Canadian National Security Expert Joe Adam George highlighted that the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) had come across threats to members of the South Asian community, but there was no concrete proof linking Indian agencies to Nijjar's killing. The diplomatic row between India and Canada has led to significant tensions, with experts noting an uptick in immigration issues in Canada since the fallout of the crisis last September. Additionally, the US corroboration of the intelligence has been questioned.
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Full resolution and restoration of relations • 25%
Partial resolution with some restrictions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Widespread condemnation of India • 25%
Support for India's position • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation of India • 25%
Support for India • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Further diplomatic expulsions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Support for Canada • 25%
Support for India • 25%
Calls for independent investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Resolution and improved relations • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Widespread condemnation of India • 25%
Support for India's stance • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Other • 25%
Full restoration of diplomatic relations • 25%
Partial restoration with conditions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Support for Canada • 25%
Support for India • 25%
Calls for independent investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN or similar body issues a statement • 25%
No action taken by international bodies • 25%
Mediation by a third country • 25%
International sanctions considered • 25%