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Increase in asylum seekers in Northern Ireland by end of 2024?
5
High•Belfast•UK•Illegal Migration Act•Rwanda•Northern Ireland•ECHR•Windsor Framework•Good Friday Agreement•Rishi Sunak
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from UK's Home Office or credible immigration statistics
Story
Northern Ireland Court Blocks UK's Rwanda Deportation Law, Government to Appeal
May 13, 2024, 02:19 PM
A High Court judge in Belfast has ruled that provisions of the UK's Illegal Migration Act, which allow for the detention and deportation of asylum seekers to Rwanda, are not applicable in Northern Ireland due to incompatibility with the ECHR. This decision was influenced by the Windsor Framework and the Good Friday Agreement, both of which uphold certain human rights standards. The ruling has sparked concerns about a potential increase in asylum seekers arriving in Northern Ireland. The UK government, led by Rishi Sunak, has announced plans to appeal the decision.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant overhaul of asylum policy • 33%
Minor adjustments to existing policy • 33%
No change in policy • 34%
Appeal the decision • 33%
Amend the Illegal Migration Act • 33%
Seek alternative agreements • 34%
Increased border patrols • 25%
New bilateral agreements with the UK • 25%
Financial aid to UK • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Stricter policies • 33%
More lenient policies • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Increase by more than 20% • 33%
Decrease by more than 20% • 33%
Change by less than 20% • 34%
