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Impact on Syrian internal politics due to Iranian military support by June 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthening of Assad's regime • 25%
Increased opposition activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of internal conflict • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or analysis from political experts
Story
Iran Plans to Send Missiles, Drones to Syria to Support Assad
Dec 6, 2024, 10:51 AM
Iran has decided to escalate its military support for Syria, according to a senior Iranian official quoted by Reuters. The official stated that Tehran has taken all necessary steps to increase the number of its military advisors in Syria, providing intelligence and satellite support. Iran is likely to send military equipment, including missiles and drones, to bolster the Syrian government's forces led by President Assad. This decision comes amidst ongoing conflicts in the region, with Syria and Russia intensifying their military operations.
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Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in support • 25%
Moderate reduction in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Increased support from other allies • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increased clashes between Syrian government and opposition forces • 25%
More Israeli airstrikes in Syria • 25%
Strengthening of Syrian government control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial presence • 25%
Full presence maintained • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Military support • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
No support • 25%