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What will be the outcome of Iran's involvement in Syria's political processes by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Syrian government, UN reports, or major news outlets
Story
Iran Maintains No Direct Contact With Syria's Transitional Government, Supports Sovereignty and Political Processes
Dec 23, 2024, 08:09 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei has stated that there is currently no direct contact between the Islamic Republic and the transitional government in Syria. Baghaei mentioned that Iran has been in communication with various opposition groups in Syria for a long time, emphasizing that Iran's presence in Syria was aimed at preventing the spread of terrorism and supporting political processes in the country. Iran has expressed its support for Syria's sovereignty and stressed that the country should not become a haven for terrorism.
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Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Improved relations with Western countries • 25%
Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Iran reduces presence • 25%
Iran maintains current stance • 25%
Iran increases presence • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Other impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%