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What will be the impact on Syrian government support due to halted Iranian flights by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in support • 25%
Moderate reduction in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Increased support from other allies • 25%
Reports from credible international media and statements from Syrian government officials
Story
Israel Threatens to Shoot Down Two Iranian Flights Over Weapons Concerns, Forces Return to Iran
Dec 7, 2024, 09:35 PM
In recent days, two flights operated by a private Iranian airline were forced to turn back while en route to Damascus after Israel issued warnings that it would shoot them down if they entered Syrian airspace. The New York Times reported that Israel expressed concerns that the flights were transferring weapons and possibly carrying troops to support the Syrian government. This incident complicates Iran's ability to mobilize forces to assist President Bashar al-Assad amid ongoing tensions in the region.
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Escalation of internal conflict • 25%
Increased opposition activity • 25%
Strengthening of Assad's regime • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Military support • 25%
No support • 25%
Economic support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Improved relations with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Closer ties with Western countries • 25%
Closer ties with China • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
