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What will be the outcome of the 2024 US Senate elections?
5
Joe Manchin•Democrats•Manchin•Senate Energy Committee•Bernie Sanders•Angus King•Kyrsten Sinema•Senate•Chuck Schumer
Resolution / Starting Odds
Democrats gain seats • 33%
Republicans gain seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Official election results
Story
Joe Manchin to Continue Caucusing with Democrats in Symbolic Gesture, Retains Energy Committee Chair
May 31, 2024, 03:03 PM
Senator Joe Manchin's office has confirmed that he will continue caucusing with the Democrats for the remainder of his term. This decision ensures that Manchin will retain his position as the chair of the Senate Energy Committee. Manchin's alignment with the Democrats means that there are now four independent senators who caucus with the party, including Bernie Sanders, Angus King, and Kyrsten Sinema. This move is largely a symbolic gesture, as it maintains the current power dynamics in the Senate, allowing Chuck Schumer and the Democrats to organize the Senate agenda.
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Similar markets
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
Split Senate • 34%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
No clear majority • 34%
Democratic Majority • 33%
Republican Majority • 33%
No Change • 34%
Republicans Gain Seats • 33%
Democrats Gain Seats • 33%
No Significant Change • 34%
Controlled by Democrats • 50%
Controlled by Republicans • 50%
Increase GOP seats • 33%
No change in seats • 33%
Decrease GOP seats • 33%
Andy Kim (Democrat) • 33%
Republican candidate • 33%
Third-party candidate • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Unexpected positive impact • 34%