Loading...
Market
Impact of withheld recordings on Biden's 2024 election outcome
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negatively impacts Biden • 33%
No impact on Biden • 33%
Positively impacts Biden • 34%
Election results and major news outlets
Story
Biden Asserts Executive Privilege Over Audio, Video of Special Counsel Interview
May 16, 2024, 12:34 PM
President Joe Biden has asserted executive privilege over the audio and video recordings of his interview with special counsel Robert Hur, who is investigating his handling of classified documents. The White House has blocked the release of these recordings, citing political motivations by House Republicans. Despite the availability of transcripts, the Justice Department has formally informed House Republicans of Biden's decision to withhold the audio, emphasizing executive privilege. The decision was communicated in a letter to House Republicans, per Holmes Lybrand.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significant negative impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Negatively impacted • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Positively impacted • 34%
Negatively impacts Democrat candidate • 33%
No significant impact on election • 33%
Boosts Republican candidate • 34%
Significant positive impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant negative impact • 34%
Access granted • 33%
Access denied • 33%
Partial access granted • 33%
Major negative impact • 33%
Minor impact • 33%
No impact • 33%
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
Significant increase (>5%) in approval rating • 33%
No significant change (±5%) in approval rating • 33%
Significant decrease (>5%) in approval rating • 33%
Significantly negative impact • 25%
Slightly negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Boosts campaign • 25%
Severely negative • 25%
Slightly negative • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Positive • 25%