Loading...
Market
Impact of Ukrainian drone support on HTS by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Analysis from credible military experts and reports from international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Sent 20 Operators, 150 FPV Drones to Aid Syrian Rebel Group HTS, Reports Washington Post
Dec 11, 2024, 06:57 AM
According to a report by Washington Post journalist David Ignatius, Ukrainian intelligence sent approximately 20 experienced drone operators and about 150 first-person-view (FPV) drones to Idlib, Syria, last month. This assistance was provided to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the leading rebel group based in Idlib, to support their offensive against the Syrian regime. The Ukrainian involvement aimed to deliver a covert blow to Russian operations abroad. Western intelligence sources cited by The Washington Post believe that the Ukrainian drones had only a 'modest' impact on the recent developments in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
HTS gains significant ground • 25%
HTS maintains current position • 25%
HTS loses ground • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
HTS maintains current status • 25%
HTS loses territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in drone strikes • 25%
Moderate increase in drone strikes • 25%
No change in drone strike frequency • 25%
Decrease in drone strikes • 25%
Significant damage to Russian armor • 25%
Significant damage to Russian infantry • 25%
Minimal impact reported • 25%
No significant operations reported • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
De-escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Increased Russian military success • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased Ukrainian military success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Significant Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate with no major changes • 25%
Significant Russian counterattacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Majority intercepted • 25%
Significant damage to infrastructure • 25%
Civilian casualties reported • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%