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How will U.S. public opinion on Iran's involvement in Middle East conflicts shift by October 2025?
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Iran•The New York Times•The Wall Street Journal•Hamas•Israel•United Nations•Doha•Israeli•Director of National Intelligence•Iranian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased suspicion of Iran • 25%
Decreased suspicion of Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Public opinion divided • 25%
Polls or surveys conducted by reputable organizations
Story
Iran and Hamas Deny New York Times Report Alleging Iran's Foreknowledge of October 7 Attack
Oct 12, 2024, 09:18 PM
Iran has denied reports from The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal alleging that it had prior knowledge of Hamas's surprise attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. Iran's representative to the United Nations responded to questions from these outlets, stating that Hamas officials in Doha also confirmed they planned the operation independently without Iran's involvement. Despite Iran's denial, Israeli authorities reportedly found evidence from Hamas contradicting earlier assessments by U.S. intelligence officials. In February, the Director of National Intelligence's threat assessment stated that Iranian leaders did not orchestrate or have foreknowledge of the Hamas attack. However, The New York Times claims to have documented evidence of Iran-Hamas planning conversations, challenging the U.S. intelligence position.
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Majority believe Iran involved • 25%
Majority believe Iran not involved • 25%
Majority undecided or indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for US policy • 25%
Decreased support for US policy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Majority against support • 25%
High threat • 25%
Moderate threat • 25%
Low threat • 25%
No threat • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Complete policy overhaul • 25%
Majority Support Arms Sales • 25%
Majority Oppose Arms Sales • 25%
Opinion Remains Split • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Houthis • 25%
None • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority support ceasefire • 25%
Majority support Israel • 25%
Majority neutral • 25%
Other • 25%