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How will UK-Russia relations change following Skripal accusations by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Official diplomatic announcements or changes in embassy operations
Story
UK Intelligence Links Putin to Sergei Skripal Assassination Attempt Over Criminal Embezzlement in Metals Production
Dec 2, 2024, 06:04 PM
The UK government has indicated that Russian President Vladimir Putin may have ordered the assassination attempt on former spy Sergei Skripal due to concerns that Skripal possessed secret information about Putin's alleged criminal embezzlement of profits from metals production. Reports suggest that the intelligence community believes this motive is linked to Putin's fear of exposure regarding how he accumulated his vast fortune. The incident is part of a broader pattern of targeted actions against individuals who pose a threat to Putin's interests.
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Severance of diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Joint EU sanctions • 25%
Increased EU military readiness • 25%
EU diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No unified EU action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Decreased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase sanctions • 33%
Maintain current sanctions • 33%
Decrease sanctions • 33%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%