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Will new evidence link Putin to metals embezzlement by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible international investigative bodies or major news outlets
Story
UK Intelligence Links Putin to Sergei Skripal Assassination Attempt Over Criminal Embezzlement in Metals Production
Dec 2, 2024, 06:04 PM
The UK government has indicated that Russian President Vladimir Putin may have ordered the assassination attempt on former spy Sergei Skripal due to concerns that Skripal possessed secret information about Putin's alleged criminal embezzlement of profits from metals production. Reports suggest that the intelligence community believes this motive is linked to Putin's fear of exposure regarding how he accumulated his vast fortune. The incident is part of a broader pattern of targeted actions against individuals who pose a threat to Putin's interests.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No new investigation • 25%
No evidence of involvement • 25%
Confirmed Russian involvement • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Suspects convicted • 25%
Suspects acquitted • 25%
Vladimir Bogdanov (Surgutneftegas) • 25%
Vorobyev (Lukoil) • 25%
Alexander Dyukov (Gazprom Neft) • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Internal security breach identified • 25%
Ukraine officially blamed • 25%