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Will there be legal challenges to Trump's executive order on cartels by February 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or public statements by legal entities challenging the executive order
Story
Trump to Classify Mexican Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations on Day One
Jan 19, 2025, 10:16 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump plans to classify Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an early executive order on day one of his presidency. This move, reported by multiple sources including Reuters, Fox News, and Punchbowl News, aims to unlock new authorities to enhance homeland security. Stephen Miller, Trump's domestic policy advisor, has been in communication with Republican members of the House and Senate regarding this executive order.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant challenges • 25%
Majority of challenges successful • 25%
Some challenges, some successful • 25%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No legal challenges • 25%
Upheld in full • 25%
Partially blocked • 25%
Fully blocked • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
