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What actions will Israel take in response to the Gaza hostage situation by January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military action in Gaza • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or military
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of 'Hell to Pay' if Gaza Hostages Not Released by January 20 Inauguration
Dec 16, 2024, 05:21 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas, stating that there will be severe consequences in the Middle East if the hostages held in Gaza are not released before his inauguration on January 20. During a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, Trump emphasized the urgency of the situation, saying, 'We are trying to help very strongly in getting the hostages back, as you know, with Israel and the Middle East.' He reiterated that if Hamas does not release the hostages by his inauguration, 'all hell is gonna break out' and it 'won't be pleasant.' This statement follows a telephone conversation Trump had with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, where they discussed efforts to secure the hostages' release and regional developments in Gaza and Syria. Trump's comments come in the wake of a 2023 attack by Hamas, where more than 250 hostages, including American citizens, were taken.
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Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions on Gaza • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hostages not released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Partial release • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful ceasefire and all hostages released • 25%
Partial agreement with some hostages released • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
UN sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
International peacekeeping force deployed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Joint military operation • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hamas • 25%
New diplomatic initiative • 25%
Other • 25%
No hostages liberated • 25%
All hostages liberated • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Some hostages liberated • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Military action initiated • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%