Loading...
Market
Who will manage prisons and detention camps holding Daesh terrorists in Syria by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey assumes management • 25%
New Syrian leadership manages • 25%
International coalition manages • 25%
No change in management • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies or organizations monitoring the situation
Story
Turkey Threatens Military Action in Northeastern Syria Against YPG Unless Foreign Fighters and PKK Leaders Depart
Jan 7, 2025, 07:14 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has warned that Turkey will launch a military operation against the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) in northeastern Syria if the group does not meet Ankara's demands, including disbanding itself. Fidan emphasized that the new Syrian administration must address the issue of the YPG's presence, which Turkey considers a terrorist group linked to the PKK. He stated that foreign fighters from Turkey, Iran, and Iraq must leave Syria immediately, and PKK leaders, whose names are known to Turkey, should also depart. Fidan added that if these conditions are not met, a military operation would be the solution. He also mentioned that Turkey aims for a bloodless transition and has the capability to manage prisons and detention camps holding Daesh terrorists in Syria if the new Syrian leadership is unable to do so.
View original story
Similar markets
Accepts Turkey's Offer • 25%
Rejects Turkey's Offer • 25%
Proposes Alternative Solution • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Collaboration with local militia • 25%
Direct government control • 25%
Third-party international oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Rejected by all • 25%
Accepted by another country • 25%
Accepted by US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Free Syrian Army • 25%
Other Rebel Group • 25%
Dismantled • 25%
Turkey takes control • 25%
Remains under current management • 25%
Managed by an international body • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
