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How will the leaked documents affect Syria's diplomatic relations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strained relations with Western countries • 25%
Strengthened ties with allies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic shifts • 25%
Changes in diplomatic relations reported by credible news sources
Story
Leaked Top Secret Documents Reveal Asma al-Assad Allegedly Worked for U.S. NSC and UK MI5, Influencing Bashar al-Assad
Jan 8, 2025, 08:05 AM
Leaked documents have revealed that Asma al-Assad, the wife of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, allegedly served as an agent for both the U.S. National Security Council (NSC) and the UK’s MI5. The documents, marked as 'Top Secret,' suggest that both Asma and Bashar al-Assad were under close surveillance by Syrian intelligence. Reports indicate that Asma al-Assad had ties to British intelligence even before her marriage to Bashar al-Assad, which may have influenced Syria's political and military landscape. The revelations were disseminated by various sources, including a Syrian journalist who leaked the documents.
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Maintained status quo • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Iran maintains current stance • 25%
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Iran reduces presence • 25%
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Formal agreement signed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
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Relations worsen significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Improved Relations • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Severed Relations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Re-establish ties with Iran • 25%
Strengthen ties with Russia • 25%
Strengthen ties with Saudi Arabia • 25%