Loading...
Market
How will the hostage situation involving Liri Albag and others be resolved by June 30, 2025?
2
Hamas•Liri Albag•Israeli•Gaza•Albag•Hebrew•Nahal Oz•Israel•Karina Ariev•Agam Berger•Naama Levy•Daniella Gilboa•Doha
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negotiated Release • 25%
Military Operation • 25%
Continued Captivity • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible international news agencies
Story
Hamas Releases Video of 19-Year-Old Israeli Hostage Liri Albag Held in Gaza for 456 Days
Jan 4, 2025, 04:03 PM
Hamas has released a video showing signs of life from Liri Albag, a 19-year-old Israeli hostage held in Gaza for 456 days. The video, which lasts three and a half minutes and is undated, features Albag speaking in Hebrew and urging the Israeli government to act for her release. Albag was kidnapped during the October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas at the Nahal Oz base in southern Israel, along with six others. One of those kidnapped was rescued, another was found dead, while the remaining five, including Albag, Karina Ariev, Agam Berger, Naama Levy, and Daniella Gilboa, remain hostages. The release of the video coincides with the resumption of indirect negotiations between Hamas and Israel in Doha for a ceasefire in Gaza. Albag's family has requested that the video and images from it not be shared, emphasizing her severe psychological distress evident in the footage. Hamas's release of such videos is considered by Israel as a form of psychological warfare.
View original story
Similar markets
Hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Hostages partially released • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
No information • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Release through negotiation • 25%
Release through military action • 25%
No release by June 30, 2025 • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Hostages rescued • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Successful exchange without ceasefire • 25%
No exchange, continued negotiations • 25%
No exchange, negotiations collapse • 25%
Successful exchange with ceasefire • 25%
Hostage escapes • 25%
Hostage killed • 25%
Hostage remains in captivity • 25%
Hostage released • 25%
No hostages liberated • 25%
Some hostages liberated • 25%
All hostages liberated • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
