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Market
Will Liri Albag be released by Hamas by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official confirmation from Israeli authorities or international agencies
Story
Hamas Releases Video of 19-Year-Old Israeli Hostage Liri Albag, First Sign of Life in 456 Days
Jan 4, 2025, 02:24 PM
Hamas has released a propaganda video on Saturday showing Israeli hostage Liri Albag, a 19-year-old surveillance soldier who was abducted from the Nahal Oz military post during the October 7 attack. In the three-and-a-half-minute video, Albag states she has been held for over 450 days, indicating it was filmed recently. This release marks the first sign of life from Albag in 456 days. Her family has requested that no parts or images of the video be publicized.
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Similar markets
No release by June 30, 2025 • 25%
Release through negotiation • 25%
Release through military action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Liri Albag • 20%
Agam Berger • 20%
Karina Ariev • 20%
Daniella Gilboa • 20%
Naama Levy • 20%
Other • 25%
Negotiated Release • 25%
Military Operation • 25%
Continued Captivity • 25%
