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How will Trump's approval ratings within the GOP change post-Indiana primary?
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Indiana Republican•Nikki Haley•Donald Trump•Haley•Super Tuesday•Marion County•Hamilton County•Boone County•Tippecanoe County•Republicans•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
Remain stable • 34%
Major polling organizations
Story
Haley Scores 22% in Indiana GOP Primary, Trump Wins 58 Delegates
May 9, 2024, 09:19 AM
In the recent Indiana Republican primary, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, despite having withdrawn from the presidential race, captured a significant portion of the vote, indicating potential challenges for former President Donald Trump's campaign. Haley secured nearly 22% of the vote, her best performance since Super Tuesday, performing strongly in key suburban areas such as Marion County (35%), Hamilton County (34%), Boone County (32%), and Tippecanoe County (31%). This result, where Haley was aided by being the only other option, has raised concerns among Republicans about Trump's appeal in the upcoming general election, especially given Haley's continued influence and lack of endorsement for Trump. Despite winning all 58 delegates, Trump faces growing discontent within his party.
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Similar markets
Less than 70% • 25%
70% to 79% • 25%
80% to 89% • 25%
90% or more • 25%
Public support for Trump • 25%
Public support for Haley • 25%
Calls for unity within the party • 25%
No significant public statements • 25%
Trump gains 80% or more of delegates • 33%
Trump gains 50% to 79% of delegates • 33%
Trump gains less than 50% of delegates • 34%
Positive Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 33%
No Impact • 34%
Significant increase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Decrease • 33%
Trump wins with over 75% • 25%
Trump wins with 50-75% • 25%
Haley wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
Remain Stable • 34%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 33%