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How will the Chinese government react to U.S. actions on influence operations by mid-2025?
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Beijing•New York•Chinese•Grace Meng•6th Congressional District•Chinese Communist Party•CCP•United Front Work Department•Xi Jinping•Andrew Yang
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Denial • 25%
Diplomatic Retaliation • 25%
No Official Reaction • 25%
Official statements from Chinese government or state media
Story
Beijing Recruits New York Chinatowns for Influence Campaign Involving Grace Meng
Oct 22, 2024, 08:00 AM
Beijing has reportedly found partners in New York’s Chinatowns to influence U.S. political discourse through local hometown associations. A congresswoman’s links to a Chinese influence strategy were highlighted, with Grace Meng, U.S. Representative for New York’s 6th Congressional District, being a former Honorary Chairwoman of the Henan Association of Eastern America. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been using organizations like these, which are typically known for cultural activities, to further its influence operations. The CCP’s United Front Work Department is also involved in surveilling and harassing Chinese activists in the U.S. and promoting Xi Jinping’s rule. Andrew Yang, during his 2021 campaign for Mayor of New York, may have been unknowingly involved in these operations.
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Similar markets
Accept Apology • 25%
Demand Further Action • 25%
Sanctions/Retaliation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Reduction in diplomatic engagements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Expulsion of U.S. diplomats • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Retaliatory Measures • 25%
No Official Reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
Acknowledge involvement • 25%
Propose diplomatic talks • 25%
No official response • 25%
Sanctions on China • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military presence in Asia-Pacific • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Imposition of new sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Impose tariffs on U.S. goods • 25%
Restrict exports to the U.S. • 25%
File a complaint with the WTO • 25%
Other retaliatory actions • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions against the U.S. • 25%
Strengthening alliances with other countries • 25%
No significant action • 25%