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What will be the outcome of U.S. legislative actions regarding foreign influence operations by end of 2025?
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Beijing•New York•Chinese•Grace Meng•6th Congressional District•Chinese Communist Party•CCP•United Front Work Department•Xi Jinping•Andrew Yang
Resolution / Starting Odds
New Legislation Passed • 25%
Existing Laws Strengthened • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Congressional records or official legislative announcements
Story
Beijing Recruits New York Chinatowns for Influence Campaign Involving Grace Meng
Oct 22, 2024, 08:00 AM
Beijing has reportedly found partners in New York’s Chinatowns to influence U.S. political discourse through local hometown associations. A congresswoman’s links to a Chinese influence strategy were highlighted, with Grace Meng, U.S. Representative for New York’s 6th Congressional District, being a former Honorary Chairwoman of the Henan Association of Eastern America. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been using organizations like these, which are typically known for cultural activities, to further its influence operations. The CCP’s United Front Work Department is also involved in surveilling and harassing Chinese activists in the U.S. and promoting Xi Jinping’s rule. Andrew Yang, during his 2021 campaign for Mayor of New York, may have been unknowingly involved in these operations.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful in preventing interference • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No interference detected • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No evidence found • 25%
Evidence of interference but no action • 25%
Evidence leads to policy changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Federal Election Commission • 25%
Homeland Security • 25%
State Governments • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Legal actions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%