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How will China officially react to U.S. investment restrictions by end of Q1 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Retaliatory Measures • 25%
No Official Reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government and news reports
Story
Biden Administration Finalizes Rules to Curb U.S. Tech Investments in China, Effective January 2
Oct 29, 2024, 01:57 AM
The Biden administration has finalized new rules restricting U.S. investments in advanced technology sectors in China, including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and quantum computing. These measures, effective January 2, 2025, aim to prevent technologies that could bolster Beijing's military capabilities from receiving U.S. financial support. The restrictions will be overseen by the Treasury Department's newly created Office of Global Transactions. These rules are part of a broader strategy to address national security concerns related to China's technological advancements, especially those with military applications.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New restrictions implemented • 25%
Current restrictions maintained • 25%
Restrictions relaxed • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tariffs on U.S. goods • 25%
Restrictions on U.S. companies operating in China • 25%
Export controls on critical materials to the U.S. • 25%
Other measures • 25%