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Will there be international intervention in Sudan due to chemical weapon use by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Announcements from international bodies like the United Nations or African Union
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U.S. Officials Confirm Sudan's Military Used Chemical Weapons at Least Twice Against RSF, Sanctions Expected
Jan 16, 2025, 04:18 PM
The United States has determined that Sudan's military has employed chemical weapons in its ongoing conflict against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary group. U.S. officials confirmed that these chemical weapons were used on at least two occasions. In response to these findings, sanctions against the Sudanese military chief are anticipated. This development highlights the severity of the conflict in Sudan, where the military is engaged in intense fighting with the RSF.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
African Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
Peacekeeping forces • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
