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How will public opinion in Moldova regarding EU membership change by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in EU support • 25%
Decrease in EU support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable organizations
Story
Moldova Votes 50.3% 'Yes' on EU Membership in Tight Referendum
Oct 21, 2024, 04:51 AM
Preliminary results from Moldova's referendum on European Union membership indicate a razor-thin majority supporting the constitutional amendment to pursue EU accession. With 99.2% of votes counted, 50.3% have voted 'Yes', while 49.7% voted 'No', a difference of just 79 votes. Initial counts showed the 'No' vote leading with 57%, but as more ballots were tallied, particularly from the diaspora, the 'Yes' vote gained ground. Voter turnout reached 49.8% by 21:00 EEST, surpassing the 33% threshold required to validate the referendum. President Maia Sandu has expressed concerns about foreign meddling and attempts by criminal groups to influence the vote. The final results are expected once all remaining votes, especially those from abroad, are counted.
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Majority support EU membership • 25%
Majority oppose EU membership • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Significant increase in undecided voters • 25%
Full implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 52.99% • 25%
53% to 55.99% • 25%
56% or more • 25%
Accession approved • 25%
Accession rejected • 25%
Accession delayed • 25%
Accession withdrawn by Moldova • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Moldova votes to join the EU • 25%
Moldova votes against joining the EU • 25%
Referendum results contested • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Moldova joins EU • 25%
Moldova rejects EU membership • 25%
Referendum annulled • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Amendment upheld • 25%
Amendment overturned • 25%
Amendment modified • 25%
No change • 25%
Aligns more with EU • 25%
Aligns more with Russia • 25%
Maintains neutrality • 25%
Other • 25%