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What will be the outcome of the Moldovan EU referendum in 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Moldova votes to join the EU • 25%
Moldova votes against joining the EU • 25%
Referendum results contested • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
The official results of the Moldovan referendum published by Moldovan electoral authorities or reputable news sources.
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Russia Allegedly Spends €50 Million, Engages in Sabotage to Influence Moldovan EU Referendum
Sep 29, 2024, 11:45 AM
Russia is reportedly engaging in extensive efforts to influence the upcoming Moldovan referendum on EU accession. According to multiple sources, Russia has invested approximately €50 million into a campaign aimed at manipulating the referendum, which is set to take place in three weeks. The campaign includes financial incentives, acts of sabotage, and a significant social media presence to sway public opinion. Additionally, there have been instances of pre-election vandalism, such as the defacement of a Moldovan broadcaster's building. The EU High Representative has been urged to take decisive action to counter Russia's interference. Moldovan officials, including a minister, are also calling on voters to reject external influences and maintain the integrity of the referendum.
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Result upheld • 25%
Recount ordered • 25%
Result overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Majority Yes • 33%
Majority No • 33%
Results annulled • 34%
Proceed with EU accession • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Abandon EU accession • 25%
Other response • 25%
Moldova joins EU • 25%
Moldova rejects EU membership • 25%
Referendum annulled • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 52.99% • 25%
53% to 55.99% • 25%
56% or more • 25%
Majority support EU membership • 25%
Majority oppose EU membership • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Significant increase in undecided voters • 25%
Aligns more with EU • 25%
Aligns more with Russia • 25%
Maintains neutrality • 25%
Other • 25%
Amendment upheld • 25%
Amendment overturned • 25%
Amendment modified • 25%
No change • 25%