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Will NATO change its defense posture or troop deployment in response to Russia's decree by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official NATO announcements or reputable news sources
Story
Putin Signs Decree to Increase Russian Armed Forces to 2.39 Million Active Duty Personnel
Sep 16, 2024, 11:43 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a decree increasing the authorized strength of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,389,130 personnel, including 1.5 million active duty military personnel. This marks an increase of 180,000 military personnel from the previous staffing level set in December 2023, which was 2,209,130 personnel with 1,320,000 military personnel. The decree will come into force on December 1, 2024. The information was released on the official legal information website on Monday.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military support to Ukraine • 33%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 33%
Both • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NATO agrees to demands • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Increased NATO presence • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New strategic alliances • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase in military support to Ukraine • 25%
Direct military engagement with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in military support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%
