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How will military alliances change due to North Korean involvement in Russia by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No changes • 25%
Official announcements from military alliances such as NATO or CSTO
Story
12,000 North Korean Soldiers to Join Russia's Fight in Kursk Next Week
Oct 24, 2024, 03:36 PM
Thousands of North Korean soldiers have arrived in Russia to support the country's military efforts against Ukraine. According to Ukrainian intelligence, approximately 12,000 North Korean troops have been deployed to Russia's Kursk region, where heavy fighting continues. Reports indicate that these soldiers have been training in eastern Russia and are now positioned in the combat zone. Kyiv intel officials stated that the deployment to fight Ukrainian forces will occur next week. This marks the first direct foreign intervention in Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine.
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North Korea-Russia alliance • 25%
South Korea strengthens US ties • 25%
New regional alliance forms • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
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No change • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Formal alliance announced • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration of ties • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
New alliance with China • 25%
Improved relations with South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal alliance announced • 25%
Supportive • 25%
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No official statement • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthens Russia's position in Ukraine • 25%
Leads to increased international sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Results in North Korea receiving significant military tech • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Pact strengthened with more military cooperation • 25%
Pact remains unchanged • 25%
Pact weakened or dissolved • 25%
Other changes • 25%