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How will diplomatic relations between Canada and India change by mid-2025 following allegations?
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Royal Canadian Mounted Police•RCMP•Indian government•Canada•High Commission•Ottawa•Vancouver•Toronto•Canadian•Narendra Modi•Indian•Lawrence Bishnoi
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations deteriorate significantly • 25%
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Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Official statements from Canadian or Indian foreign ministries or major news outlets
Story
RCMP Alleges Indian Diplomats in Canada Involved in Dozens of Violent Crimes Targeting Modi Opponents
Oct 14, 2024, 07:23 PM
The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have alleged that agents of the Indian government, including diplomats and consular officials based in Canada's High Commission in Ottawa and consulates in Vancouver and Toronto, have been involved in clandestine activities and orchestrated criminal acts on Canadian soil. According to the RCMP, these activities include homicides, extortion, and coercion, targeting opponents of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government. The Indian agents are alleged to have collaborated with the Lawrence Bishnoi gang to spread terror in Canada. The RCMP has gathered significant information about the breadth and depth of these criminal activities, which include dozens of violent crimes and are said to pose a threat to public safety.
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Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other development • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions increase • 25%
Severance of diplomatic ties • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
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Relations worsen • 25%
Relations severed • 25%
Further diplomatic expulsions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations improve with new agreements • 25%
Relations remain strained with no significant change • 25%
Relations deteriorate further with additional sanctions • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations normalize • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Trade sanctions • 25%
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Resolution and improved relations • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
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Condemnation of India • 25%
Support for India • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased diplomatic sanctions • 25%
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Other • 25%