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How many people will return to the border areas of the Kursk region by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
More than 100,000 • 25%
None • 25%
Verified reports from recognized news agencies like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian government
Story
Putin Vows Response as Ukraine Captures 28 Settlements in Kursk Region, 121,000 Flee
Aug 12, 2024, 12:23 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has been informed by Alexei Smirnov, the acting governor of the Kursk region, that Ukrainian forces have captured 28 settlements in a surprise offensive. The incursion into Russian territory is approximately 12 kilometers deep and 40 kilometers wide. More than 121,000 people have fled the border areas, while the fate of about 2,000 people in the occupied settlements remains unknown. Putin has vowed to 'kick the enemy out' of Russia.
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180,000-200,000 • 25%
200,001-220,000 • 25%
220,001-240,000 • 25%
More than 240,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 - 150,000 • 25%
150,001 - 200,000 • 25%
More than 200,000 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful evacuation to Ukraine • 25%
Successful evacuation to Russia • 25%
Partial success with some interference • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
More than 20,000 • 25%
0-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
6-8 • 25%
9 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 - 20,000 • 25%
20,001 - 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
Less than 150 sq km • 25%
150-200 sq km • 25%
200-250 sq km • 25%
More than 250 sq km • 25%
