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How many Russian troops will be redeployed to Kursk region by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 - 20,000 • 25%
20,001 - 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
Official announcements from Russian defense ministry, verified by independent news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC)
Story
Ukrainian Forces Advance 2 km, Control 5 sq km in Kursk; Russia Responds
Aug 30, 2024, 12:11 PM
Ukraine's army chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, reported that Ukrainian forces have made significant advances in Russia's Kursk region. In the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces advanced up to 2 kilometers and took control of 5 square kilometers of territory. This incursion has led to the redeployment of approximately 30,000 Russian troops. Ukrainian forces now control 100 towns and villages across 1,294 square kilometers. Russian authorities are responding by creating new volunteer territorial defense units.
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Similar markets
Less than 10,000 troops • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 troops • 25%
20,000 to 30,000 troops • 25%
More than 30,000 troops • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successfully repels Ukrainian forces • 25%
Fails to repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ukraine regains significant ground • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 15,000 • 25%
15,001 to 20,000 • 25%
More than 20,000 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
