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Market
How many displaced Palestinians will return home during the ceasefire?
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Hamas•Israeli•Romi Gonen•Emily Damari•Doron Steinbrecher•Israel•Gaza•Palestinian•Benjamin Netanyahu•United States•Qatar•Egypt
Resolution / Starting Odds
Over 10,000 return • 25%
5,000-10,000 return • 25%
1,000-4,999 return • 25%
Less than 1,000 return • 25%
Reports from international observers or credible news outlets
Story
Hamas Names 3 Hostages Aged 24-31 for Release Amid 2-Hour Gaza Ceasefire Delay
Jan 19, 2025, 08:51 AM
Hamas has announced the names of three Israeli women hostages—Romi Gonen (24), Emily Damari (28), and Doron Steinbrecher (31)—who are set to be released on Sunday as part of a ceasefire agreement with Israel. The ceasefire, initially delayed by over two hours, is expected to involve the exchange of 33 Israeli hostages held in Gaza for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners detained by Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the ceasefire would not commence until the list of hostages was provided. The delay in releasing the list was attributed by Hamas to technical issues. The agreement, mediated by the United States, Qatar, and Egypt, marks the first step in a fragile process to end the ongoing conflict. Israeli airstrikes in Gaza continued during the delay, with reports of eight deaths and over 25 injuries. The ceasefire is expected to last six weeks, during which humanitarian aid will increase, and displaced Palestinians may return home.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
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900 to 1,000 • 25%
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