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How many deportations will be conducted by the Trump administration by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 500,000 • 25%
More than 500,000 • 25%
Official statistics from the Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump Appoints Homan as Border Czar, Warns Sanctuary Cities of Mass Deportations
Nov 11, 2024, 02:31 PM
Donald Trump has appointed Tom Homan as the new 'Border Czar' in his administration, signaling a focus on immigration enforcement. Homan, a former director of an immigration enforcement agency, has issued a stern warning to Democrat governors and sanctuary cities, urging them to cooperate with the upcoming mass deportation operations or to stay out of the way. He emphasized the ease of arresting individuals from jail rather than seeking them out, indicating a robust approach to immigration enforcement. This move aligns with Trump's pledge to launch the largest deportation operation in the country's history.
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Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
Other gangs • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Over 1 million • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
Under 100,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.3 million • 25%
More than 1.3 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
Mass deportations • 25%
Selective deportations • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%