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How many individuals will be deported under Trump's plan by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Reports from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or major news outlets
Story
President-elect Trump Announces Largest Mass Deportation Plan in U.S. History
Nov 7, 2024, 08:13 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to carry out the largest mass deportation in U.S. history. In an NBC News interview, Trump emphasized that there is 'no price tag' for the plan, stating that 'we have no choice.' He cited reasons such as crimes committed by individuals and drug lords as justifications for the deportations. The announcement has sparked questions about when these deportations will begin.
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Similar markets
Less than 1 million • 25%
1 to 5 million • 25%
5 to 10 million • 25%
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Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
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Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
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500,000 to 1 million • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
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Less than 1 million • 25%
1 to 2 million • 25%
2 to 3 million • 25%
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Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
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Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 500,000 • 25%
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MS-13 • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
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No significant deportations • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
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Halted by legal challenges • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
More than 1 million deported • 25%
500,000 to 1 million deported • 25%
Less than 500,000 deported • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%